Wednesday, November 07, 2012

2012 N.L. Catchers




I usually list the most expensive players at a position first followed by the 10 best, but doing that here would be burying the lead.

Top 10 N.L. Catchers 2012
#
Player
$
Sal
+/-
CBS
LABR
TW
PK
2011
1
$31
19
11
20
19
19
22
$6
2
$27
15
12
15
16
15
15
$20
3
$21
9
12
9
9
9
9
$11
4
$20
6
14
7
8
4
4
$1
5
$19
19
0
20
19
18
19
$20
6
$17
11
6
12
10
10
10
$13
7
$12
2
10
3
1
2
2
$2
8
$11
21
-10
21
22
21
22
$19
9
$9
1
8
3
1
2
10
$7
$0
Average
$17
12
6
11
11
10
11
$9

Historically, catchers that earn $20 or more in the National League are a rarity. McCann earned $20 in 2009, while Montero and Molina did it in 2011. Never have there been four catchers that cracked the $20 barrier in the National League...at least not since I started tracking this.

And it's not even a close shave where the catchers that earn $20 or earn $20 on the nose. Posey and Molina were the sixth and 17th best hitters in the National League.

Unlike in the American League, it was feast or famine where N.L. catchers were concerned. When you have two catchers in your 10 best that didn't even make the Majors until late May/early June, you know there were some failures.

10 Most Expensive N.L. Catchers, 2012
#
Player
$
Sal
+/-
CBS
LABR
TW
PK
2011
1
Brian McCann
$11
21
-10
21
22
21
22
$19
2
Buster Posey
$31
19
11
20
19
19
22
$6
3
Miguel Montero
$19
19
0
20
19
18
19
$20
4
Yadier Molina
$27
15
12
15
16
15
15
$20
5
$2
14
-12
15
14
13
14
$13
6
$2
12
-10
11
12
13
12
$10
7
$3
11
-8
11
10
12
11
$10
8
Jonathan Lucroy
$17
11
6
12
10
10
10
$13
9
-$2
9
-11
7
11
10
7
$10
10
Carlos Ruiz
$21
9
12
9
9
9
9
$11
Average
$13
14
-1
14
14
14
14
$13

Only Montero breaks even or comes close. You were either very happy or very upset if you spent an appreciable amount of money on a catcher (or two) in N.L.-only last year.

How many owners actually do spend at least $20 on two catchers? I don't have data from lots of leagues in front of me, but what about in expert formats?

Todd Zola gained some attention this spring (and by attention I mean attention from nerds like me) by buying four catchers in Tout Wars. You can't do this in standard Rotisserie leagues, but Tout Wars added something called the swingman: a position where you could put any hitter or pitcher. Zola's take:
Something else I noticed that while every other top player was going for a premium, Brian McCann went a bit undervalued. To see if this was going to be a trend, my next turn, I put Buster Posey out to bid and sure enough, he also went a few bucks under what I expected. At that point, I made the conscious decision to take advantage of this and nab two catchers I happen to like if they came in under price, Miguel Montero and Wilson Ramos. I would put them up for bid if necessary, as I expected that at some point, the catcher prices would rise. Sure enough, I got both of them a few bucks below what I would have paid.
In addition to Montero and Ramos, Zola walked out of the room with Hundley and Ruiz. By my reckoning, he took a loss.

While Zola was aggressive behind the dish, he "only" spent $50 on his four catchers. He didn't walk away with McCann and Posey at a combined $40 - or 15% of his budget.

I'm with Todd in theory. Go where the value takes you, even if it means spending a lot of money on your catchers. I don't like sticking a catcher in a utility slot in a "standard" Rotisserie league. but in the past I haven't shied away from spending big money on catchers if that's where the value is.

The results here don't necessarily support or contradict the idea that you should spend big money on catchers. I like the distribution of value in the American League better. With so many catchers earning in double-digits, you were going to get value back. In the N.L., this proposition was less clear. It's great that Posey earned $31 and Molina earned $27. But the wider distribution of values gives me pause about making a big investment. Posey's the superstar, but he's going to get paid like one in 2013...and he's going to get taken way too early in draft formats. Molina is the guy I'd probably target if I wanted to spend. His profile is lower than Posey's, he's younger than Ruiz, and he probably won't go for quite as much money while providing fairly sneaky $20 value in deep formats.


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