Thursday, October 27, 2011

2011 CBS Sports A.L.-Only Analyst League Recap

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For the third year in a row, I won a title in one of the CBS Sports.com Analyst leagues. In 2009, I won in the A.L., in 2010 in the N.L., and this year I won again in the A.L.

How did I do it? It was almost entirely due to the strength of my auction.

2011 Patton and Company team, CBS Sports Analyst League
#
Player
$
Sal
+/-

AVG
BID
C
Adam Moore
$0
$1
-1
$1
C
Jason Varitek
$6
$1
5
$1
1B
Casey Kotchman
$15
$1
14
$1
2B
Dustin Ackley
$10
$2
8
$6
SS
Erick Aybar
$21
$4
17
$12
3B
Michael Young
$30
$14
16
$18
CO
Kevin Kouzmanoff
$2
$10
-8
$11
MI
Macier Izturis
$12
$1
11
$7
OF
Jacoby Ellsbury
$45
$29
17
$29
OF
Grady Sizemore
$5
$18
-13
$14
OF
Ichiro Suzuki
$24
$28
-4
$26
OF
Josh Willingham
$19
$11
8
$10

OF
Delmon Young
$13
$24
-11
$21

DH
Hideki Matsui
$12
$8
4
$9

P
Andrew Bailey
$11
$19
-8
$17

P
Nick Blackburn
-$1
$1
-2
$1

P
Clay Buchholz
$7
$15
-8
$16

P
Trevor Cahill
$9
$15
-6
$13

P
Octavio Dotel
$4
$7
-3
$3

P
Gio Gonzalez
$21
$12
9
$14

P
David Price
$24
$23
1
$21

P
Ervin Santana
$20
$11
9
$11

P
Dan Wheeler
$4
$1
3
$0


Total
$314
$260
+54
$260


You can see where I cleaned up: on offense. $216 of production for $156 spent is mighty sweet. There was certainly some luck involved. While I obviously believed in Ellsbury, no one in his right mind would have expected $45 worth of production. Kotchman was a case of me grabbing a warm body in the end game and catching earth, wind and fire in a bottle. 

However, there were some solid buys as well. Aybar and Izturis are the kind of players I've cleaned up with in the CBS leagues in the past: boring players that other teams run out of money for because teams spent $40+ for Robinson Cano, Miguel Cabrera or Evan Longoria. And Young was inspired: a $14 buy in early February when everyone thought he was going to the National League except for me. Young was a moderate risk with a huge reward.

Then there was the pitching. While I avoided any bombs, I didn't hit on any aces either (Price was the only Top 10 pitcher I got). Price, Gonzalez, and Santana were a nice start to my staff, but Buchholz and Cahill left me scrambling for starts all year long. And I was right to be worried about my saves. Even before Bailey got hurt, my poor gamble on Dotel failed to pay off and I had spent $26 on less than a full season from Bailey and one measly save from Dotel.

Fortunately, my mistakes didn't matter much:

2011 CBS Sports A.L.-onlyAnalyst League "Draft" Standings
Team
R
HR
RBI
SB
BA
K
W
SV
ERA
WHIP
TOT
Patton & Company
10.5
6
12
10
12
12
9
3
9
4
87.5
Baseball HQ
7
8
10
8
9
10.5
6.5
6
10
6
86
Fantasy Pros 911
12
9
11
9
4
4
10
8
3
3
73
Yahoo! Sports
6
2
5
12
6
7
12
6
8
9
73
CBS Melchior
9
10.5
9
3
7
10.5
6.5
5
4
7
71.5
Mastersball.com
4
4
4
4
3
5
5
9
12
12
62
Stats LLC
10.5
12
8
11
2
2.5
1
10
2
2
61
Fantasy Sports Empires.com
2
7
3
5
1
6
11
4
10
8
57
CBS Eisenberg
3
1
2
2
10
9
4
12
7
6
56
MLB Network Radio
1
3
1
1
11
8
8
1
11
11
56
CBS White
8
10.5
7
6.5
5
1
3
7
1
1
50
Fantasy Baseball.com
5
5
6
6.5
8
2.5
2
2
5
5
47

While I might have cleaned up on value, I did not clean up in points. Coming out of the auction, it looked like Baseball HQ and me and then the rest of the pack.

Then I compounded things by doing next to nothing to help myself all year long. David Robertson and Sam Fuld were the only free agents I added who earned $10 or more. While I did get both Fuld and Robertson early, I also missed out on most of the stronger free agent acquisitions. I also made the only trade of the year in CBS...and it didn't work out. Shortly after Bailey came back, I flipped him for Justin Smoak. I figured I had only one point to lose in saves and could jump up in HR/RBI/runs with any halfway decent hitter. Right idea, wrong hitter. Smoak was in the middle of a slump when I acquired him and he never got back on track.

I lost four points in-season, finishing with 83.5 points. Fortunately for me, Baseball HQ's entrant lost even more: dropping 11 1/2 points to finish with 74.5

This is the view I have now from my rear-view mirror. In season, it wasn't that simple. HQ had a 10-point lead with five and a half weeks left in the season. Just like 2010, it looked like a win wasn't going to be in the cards for me.

Unlike 2010, my win this year had less to do with a surge by my team but by a collapse by a team in front of me. Do I feel cheap winning that way?

No. A win is a win, and I'll take one anyway I can get it. I had laid the foundation for a successful season, and wouldn't have been in position to capitalize on HQ's collapse without a strong auction. It was an ugly win, but I'm more than happy to put another trophy on my Rotisserie case.

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