Monday, September 05, 2011

N.L. FAAB Log: September 5, 2011

Tom Milone $11.  Other bids: $4.
Millone’s first major league start must have turned a few people off.  Brad Peacock is the better prospect, but it is impossible to ignore Millone’s AAA numbers: 148.1 IP, 137 hits, 16 walks, 155 strikeouts.  He is someone to watch both down the stretch and for next year.  Contenders likely want to steer clear of almost any rookie pitcher at this stage of the game, but some guys are worth taking a flier on – Milone is one of those guys.
I wrote about Maldonado on Saturday.  He received no interest other than from a non-contender.  We know his limitations, and until the bat improves or until you play with defensive metrics in your league, he will likely continue to be ignored in any mixed league format.

Logan Schafer $6.
I also wrote about Schafer on Saturday.  I wanted to quote John Sickels’ description of Schafer here, which he set out on his site on Friday: “This 25-year-old lost 2010 to a hernia, but recovered this year to hit .315/.385/.439 combined at three levels, with 16 steals, finishing the year in Triple-A. He has a strong glove in center field and is a skilled hitter with gap power and solid plate discipline.”  I am not sure Schafer is a keep at this price for next year in a crowded outfield, but he is certainly worth looking at for speed and for next year.

Henry Sosa $5.  Other bids: $2.
Imagine Sosa’s disappointment at moving from a potential pitcher’s park with a decent organization to Houston.  Sosa is an enigma this year: the strikeouts are up and the walks and home runs are down.  Nonetheless, the hits are up over 10 per 9 IP and the results are very disappointing.  If he is going to win two games, however, these are the match-ups you want: he gets Pittsburgh and Washington in a two-start week.  I can recommend Sosa this week as a stream play.
Brach started the year on fire in AA, but really struggled in AAA, where the K/BB really fell off.  Given that poor transition, I have no reason to believe he will help your fantasy team this year at all.
Miley got a promotion after some encouraging progress at AAA.  He is a ground-ball machine with inconsistent command.  We are seeing some of that in his first couple of starts: 2 wins, but 12 hits per 9 innings pitched and a mediocre strikeout rate.  Miley gets the Rockies and the Padres in a two start week: I am not sure I would take this gamble if I were a contender, but the second place team did.
I prefer relievers with higher K/9 or K/BB when filling in slots.  On the flip side, Saito tends not to get bombed in any particular outing and is not throwing enough innings to make a huge impact.  This is a pretty safe play by the third place team, particularly since he threw Kevin Millwood overboard, which I highly recommend.
Loe is throwing more innings than Saito, but his peripherals are also pretty solid.  This is another reliever for starter play by the third place team (replacing Jeff Karstens).
Flores put up a .630 OPS in AAA and is hitting to a .650 OPS in the majors: nothing like consistency.  Ivan Rodriguez has been activated from the disabled list and Wilson Ramos has a .747 OPS, so it is hard to see Flores contributing to your fantasy team this year.
This is an excellent pick-up by the fourth-place team this week.  I wrote about Wells in Gearing Up, and he gets the Mets this upcoming weekend.  I highly recommend Wells this week, both as a potential keep and as a potential contributor.

Jason Bourgeois.  Claimed by the 12th, 8th and 2nd place teams.
Bourgeois is pure speed, putting up 25 stolen bases in 213 plate appearances.  This certainly puts him on the contender and non-contender list for pick-up.  It is hard to see him as an every day player next year, but, in Houston, anything is possible.

Dillon Gee.  Claimed by the 6th place team.

Octavio Dotel.  Claimed by the 5th place team.

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