Sunday, May 08, 2011

N.L. FAAB Log: May 9, 2011

Logan Forsythe $5.  Other bids: $3.
Mike wrote about Logan extensively the other day.  Forsythe only has five at-bats so far, and I am not sure what his long term value will be.  As I suggested in my previous write-up about him, he could strike out a lot at this level, and he has struck out in three of his five at-bats.  He will be sent down when Orlando Hudson is ready to come back.

Chris Valaika $4.  Other bids $3.
With injuries to Scott Rolen, Miguel Cairo and Paul Janish hurting, Valaika was thought to get some time.  Cairo and Janish, however, are now healthy enough to play, and it is unlikely Valaika will see any significant at-bats.

Alex Cora $2.  Other bids: $1.
I wrote about Alex Cora here.  He picked up 17 at-bats since May 1, so we can consider him an everyday player.  In 5x5 NL-only leagues, where runs count, you should have him on your radar at this point…counting stats are counting stats, until Ryan Zimmerman gets back at least.

Ronny Paulino $3.  Other bids: $1.
The team that bid on Paulino just lost Nick Hundley.  Paulino came off the disabled list red hot, and is in a quasi-platoon with Josh Thole.  Given Thole’s struggles, Paulino could see more and more time, though it would be better for Paulino, and for the Mets, if he remained in a platoon.  Expect some pop and, for his career, he is a relatively average-neutral player; he is definitely an acceptable injury replacement, if not, potentially, a second catcher.

Brian Bogusevic $1.  Other bids: $1.
Bogusevic brings some of the same speed skills that fantasy owners just lost in Jason Bourgeois, without the potential for second base qualification.  I suspect he will not hit for much average, but if you are in need of speed, this is not a bad place to look.  He should get into games as a pinch runner/defensive replacement fairly consistently until Bourgeois is back in the fold.  Just keep your expectations low; Bourgeois he is not.

Helms has not had a hit since April 30, and has only started once in that time frame.  It is looking more and more like Emilio Bonifacio is going to get some more time at third base, and Helms will continue to pinch hit.

Someone finally took a chance on Maholm this week.  As I wrote about Friday, Maholm has a decent match-up against the Dodgers this week.  Is Maholm for real?  The jury is still out, but he is pitching right between his FIP and xFIP, the strikeout rate is up, and the swinging strikes are up.  The contact rate and walk rate, however, suggest Maholm is due for a minor correction.

Sanches’ overall numbers look pretty good, but this is a reliever that is set-up for trouble.  His K/9 is way down, and his BB/9 is way up (caveat: small sample sizes!).  He does have three vulture wins already, but since wins are so unpredictable, there are better options.

Waiver claims: Darren Ford, Jason Isringhausen, Ryan Franklin, Matt Lindstrom.  Ford is providing a cheap source of steals, but Andres Torres is due back on Tuesday and Ford could be sent down.  Isringhausen has been okay so far this year, and appears to now be second in line for saves, based on the fact that he was the closer Sunday if the Mets got in that situation.  Franklin is a speculation play; not a bad idea, as there is a chance he could regain the closer job.  Of course, that is a chance contenders do not want to take.  Lindstrom has been very good this year, and Huston Street has been a bit shaky this week.  On the flip side, Lindstrom is working through some shoulder soreness and is a risk to wind up on the disabled list.

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