Top 10 2010 N.L. Hitters, Sorted by Patton $
Other VORP Top 10: Adrian Gonzalez 4th, Jay Bruce 8th
Other Fangraphs Top 10: Ryan Zimmerman 3rd, Richie Weeks 6th, Andres Torres 7th, Kelly Johnson 8th, Aubrey Huff 10th.
The numbers confirm that I'm right.
The surprise for me here is that Matt Holliday ranks as high as he does using various wins-above-replacement models. Because of Pujols (and, to a lesser extent, Tulowitzki's marvelous run) Holliday has flown under the radar, but he's had a pretty great season in his own right.
Tulo got close, but as hot as he was in the beginning of September, his cool down in the second half of the month leaves him on the outside of the Votto/Pujols circle looking in. Fangraphs loves Zimmerman because of his defense, while BP loves him less, so Zimmerman will go where my intuition suggests he belongs: at the bottom of the rankings.
Marc Normandin of BP turned me on to how good Adrian Gonzalez was this year when you factor in park effects. Baseball Reference has Gonzalez third in Adjusted OPS behind Votto and Pujols. I definitely moved Gonzalez up in my rankings, but not enough to alter the two-man race.
In the end, I decided to give Votto the nod over Pujols because it's a close race and Votto's team went to the play-offs. I don't believe that only players on play-off teams can or should win awards, but when it is close it is certainly an intangible to consider.
1) Joey Votto
2) Albert Pujols
3) Adrian Gonzalez
4) Troy Tulowitzki
5) Matt Holliday
6) Carlos Gonzalez
7) Ryan Zimmerman
8) Jay Bruce
9) Aubrey Huff
10) Jayson Werth