Monday, April 19, 2010

A.L. FAAB Log: April 19, 2010

Dana Eveland $12. Other bid $1.
A fast start for Eveland led to an aggressive bid (though given his fast start I thought there would be more than just the one). His early success is mostly fueled by an unsustainable 5.1% line drive percentage. He is throwing a lot more change-ups this year (in favor of his slider), but his stuff isn't strong enough for him to keep this up. Keep in mind that Eveland did well early for Oakland in 2008 before the league caught up to him. He has the Royals this week so is OK if you're playing match-ups, but his next start after that is against Boston the following week. I'd be wary with Eveland if you can't reserve active pitchers.

Fred Lewis $9.
Lewis was acquired from the Giants this past week. He profiles as a 4th OF, but should see a fair amount of time in the outfield, and could see more frequent time if Edwin Encarnacion's injury woes linger or if slow starter Travis Snider gets sent to AAA. Lewis is fast so at the very least should be a cheap source of speed even if he doesn't wind up with a regular job. I see him on the bench in the short-term but I'd watch Snyder's status; Lewis could wind up starting if Snyder continues to tank.

Adam Rosales $9. Other bids $9, $5, $3.
Rosales has received a nice chunk of playing time early, but Mark Ellis is supposed to return this week so that should mostly disappear. The former Reds prospect profiles as a back-up infielder and won't receive as frequent AB if Ellis manages to stay healthy. If he does start, Rosales could pop a few HR and steal a few bases, but don't bid this high for his services.

Ramon Santiago $5.
Santiago has been getting some starts at SS over light hitting Adam Everett. He has slight power for a middle infielder and is worth a cheap FAAB throw in A.L.-only leagues, but his upside is limited.

Matt Harrison $4. Other bid $1.
A fill-in for the injured Tommy Hunter, Harrison is off to a fast start this year, albeit in two starts against Cleveland and Seattle. He's not a big strikeout pitcher and his numbers so far this year have supported this. Fangraphs does show a slight increase in his fastball velocity, but also a more steady diet of sliders as well. He's in Fenway this week, so if you can FAAB him and reserve him do so; otherwise wait another week to see how he does against a stronger offense.

Matt Treanor $2.
Treanor is a career journeyman backstop who is up due to Jarrod Saltalamacchia's injury woes. With Taylor Teagarden struggling, Treanor might see some decent playing time this week, but he's a 34-year-old organizational soldier who hasn't shown much in his brief major league career. He's worth owning in really deep leagues, but don't expect much.

Scott Linebrink $1.
Linebrink didn't miss any time last year, but he was pitching hurt most of the season and as a result suffered some of the worst numbers of his career. He's 100% now and thus far has been very effective. He's probably behind Matt Thornton and J.J. Putz in the Bobby Jenks CIW derby but is still worth owning as a middle reliever in 4x4 leagues and even in 5x5 due to the strikeouts.

Doug Fister $1. Other bid $1.
Fister's last strong start against Oakland certainly generated a lot of attention, but he's a 26-year-old non-prospect pitcher with less than overwhelming stuff. Like Eveland, Fister's early success is due to an unsustainable LD% (in his case, 12.8%) that simply won't continue. He's a two-start pitcher this week, with match-ups against the Orioles and at the White Sox. I'm not a fan of Fister's and I'd avoid adding him unless you really need to take a shot at the wins.

Grant Balfour $1. Other bid $1.
After a shaky 2009, Balfour looks solid again thus far in 2010. With Rafael Soriano in the fold, the odds at Balfour getting saves are very slim, but he's a solid middle relief guy who can strike out a batter an inning.

Tony Pena $1.
Thus far, Pena's been very effective as Ozzie Guillen's long reliever in a pen that doesn't have a true long relief guy. That doesn't make Pena a good bet for wins as a mop up pitcher, and the pen is deep enough that you're better off looking elsewhere if you're trolling for CIW candidates.

Sergio Santos $1.
Santos was a first round pick by the Diamondbacks way back in 2002 as a shortstop. Despite a strong power year in AA in 2007, he washed out as a hitting prospect and was converted to a pitcher in 2009. His numbers were poor across four levels that year and he also got tagged in the Arizona Fall League, but he made the roster this spring with a strong showing. That success has thus far carried over into 2010, as Santos thus far has been virtually unhittable, sporting 95 MPH heat and a biting slider. I don't know if the hitters will catch up to him or not, but you certainly can't quibble with the early results.

Donny Lucy $1.
With Ramon Castro starting the year on the DL, Lucy made the White Sox as A.J. Pierzynski's caddy. He'll only get 1-2 starts a week and probably isn't worth owning. At 27, Lucy is a Triple-A guy whose best bet is to luck into a back-up job somewhere. He showed a little SB potential in the minors way back when but it's uncertain if that will translate to the majors at this late date.

Mike McCoy $1.
With Aaron Hill on the DL, McCoy's been seeing a good deal of time at 2B for the Blue Jays. He's an organizational soldier who finally reached the majors for a cup of coffee with the Rockies last year. He's interesting due to his speed (40 SB at Colorado Springs last year), but with Hill due back this week has limited value as a back-up.

Gabe Gross $1.
Gross is an intriguing play for the A's as long as Coco Crisp remains on the DL and Jack Cust stays in the minors. Gross has shown decent power in his career against righties, and while the average is nothing to write home about, he's probably a better option than Eric Chavez at DH or Eric Patterson in the outfield. The A's seem to have figured this out this past week, and Gross has seen semi-regular playing time. If I had a hole in my OF in a deep A.L.-only league, Gross would be near the top of my list.

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