Thursday, July 02, 2009

Diving Deep Into the Middle (N.L.)

After reading my scintillating post on middle relievers yesterday, T.J. wanted to know:
Why no Dan Meyer?
The answer is because I was only looking at pitchers who are currently free agents in the 4x4 N.L.-only league I track for my FAAB bids. Since T.J. is (understandably) curious, here is the full list year-to-date.

Most Valuable MR to Date: National League
#
Player4x4 $5x5 $
Sal
Owned?
How?
1Ramon Troncoso
$22$15
YFA 5/18
2Mark DiFelice
$21$15
Y
FA 5/4
3Nick Masset
$21$15
N

4
Chris Sampson
$21$13

Y
FA 5/18
5
Dan Meyer
$21$13
Y
FA 5/18
6
Ronald Belisario
$18$14

N
FA 5/25
7
Angel Guzman
$15$11
Y
FA 5/25
8
Mitch Stetter
$15
$11
N

9
Ryan Madson
$15$11
2
Y
$5F
10Pedro Feliciano
$14$11
N
FA 6/22

Average
$18$130



The dollar values for 4x4 and 5x5 are prorated assuming that all 10 of these pitchers continued on the exact same pace for the rest of the year. The average salary is from the Sportsline, LABR, and Tout Wars expert auctions. The "owned" column tracks whether or not these pitchers are owned in the N.L. league I track for FAAB bids every week, and the last column tells us the salary if they were bought at auction or the date of purchase if they were FAABed.

You'll notice right away that Belisario and Feliciano both have FAAB purchase dates even though they're unowned. That's because they were bought and then tossed back into the pool - Feliciano apparently rather quickly.

And once again you'll notice that the impact of these pitchers in 5x5, though not as significant as it is in 4x4, is still significant. Not all 10 of these pitchers will finish the year in double digits earnings in 5x5, but probably at least 4-5 will.

This isn't small potatoes. Last year in 5x5, only 65 pitchers earned $10 or more. That number expands slightly in 4x4, with 71 pitchers cracking double digits, but it's still not a lot.

In terms of deep leagues, this means that if you had a retrospective auction in N.L. 5x5 leagues last year and everyone took an equal amount of $10+ pitchers, each team would get five of them.

We've had it beaten into our heads for so long by the traditional Rotisserie community that middle relievers are worthless that even the most hard core of Rotisserie analysts don't realize how valuable middle relievers are. One of these guys could be my fifth best pitcher in 5x5, which means that there's a good chance I'm carrying at least two starters who aren't as good as that middle man.

2 comments:

Anonymous said...

How is Stetter not owned?

He's helping keep my staff above water.

Since MRs tend to be so uneven from the first to the second half, who are some sell-high, buy-low candidates? I'm in an NL-only.

Nick said...

Stetter and Guzman have really helped turn my staff around after losing Webb and dealing with the implosions of Parra and Arroyo. I picked up these two guys off FAAB and they are making a huge difference in my ratios...and any strikeouts are a nice extra (and these two do get a decent amount of K's)