Saturday, June 13, 2009

Patton & Company Now Has In-Season Pricing

In what constitutes a seismic shift for those of us in the world of Rotisserie analytics, Patton & Company is now listing 2009 statistics and earnings year-to-date for every player.

However, there are a couple of significant caveats that are worth mentioning before you scamper over there thinking that all of your in-season valuation problems are solved.

OK, I know it's exciting. So, scamper, scamper. I'll wait here.

(sound of Muzak playing in the background for those of you who didn't scamper.)

Yep, the prices aren't prorated for the amount of games played this year. They're YTD earnings if you plugged the 2008 formulas into this year's stats.

There are a few problems with this approach, but it's definitely better than nothing. It also gives you a much more realistic picture of what Zack Greinke or Carl Crawford would earn if they continued at this exact same pace for the rest of the year. Just multiply their 2009 Patton earnings by (162/the number of games player's team has played) and you've got a rough idea of how historic Crawford or Greinke's years would be if they both could keep this up.

So I like it, but I wouldn't recommend using these values for your in-season trade values. Assuming that Crawford/Greinke are going to earn $60+ for the season means that you're going to overpay for them in trade.

But of course I'm sure all of you already know that.

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