Friday, May 22, 2009

Keeping Players on the Margins

Back in late March, T.J. made what I thought was an astute observation:
If you have an otherwise strong freeze list, you can keep a few studs at or near par, or even a couple dollars above (if inflation looks bad). Keeping $4 guys at $1 probably isn't wise, because it can tie up your slots and eliminate draft flexibility.
It always seems to me that there is a lot of value floating around at the end of my keeper league auctions, so another reason that you might not want to keep a $1 or $2 player at $1 is because something better is bound to come along in the auction.

2008 Billy Almon Brown Graduate: $3 Cost or Less

#
Bid
Inf.
Cost
$
+/-
Hitters
3169
80
51
111+60
Pitchers
3382
94
50
125+75
Total
64151174
101236+135

I thought that T.J. was being a little too liberal with his rule (drop a $4 player at $1), but even if these players had only matched expectations (bid), they still would have turned a $50 profit and come in $73 under inflation.

It's easy to lose perspective and get too excited here. $73 under inflation for 64 players is still only a little over $1 per player. You still probably want to keep that $4 player at $1. But I agree with T.J. that you want to have a few slots available in the endgame just in case opportunities arise.

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