Monday, July 21, 2008

N.L. FAAB Log: July 21, 2008

Joe Blanton $60. Other bids: $36, $17, $16, $13.
For those of you who have better things to do with your weekend, here's a link back to the piece I wrote on Blanton - including my guesstimate of what his FAAB bid was going to be. I said:

I think Blanton goes for anywhere from $50-70 in most leagues...
It turns out this league hit the midpoint exactly. However, the bids in general were extremely tepid, with only one other team cracking the $20 barrier. It's entirely possible this league sees more of the negatives than the positives with Blanton, and many of its owners figure that they can take a stab on some of the free agent starters coming down the pike later and do better than they will with Blanton.

Jason Johnson $2.
In case, you're wondering, this isn't some hot shot prospect. This is the same guy who pitched in the majors from 1997-2006, mostly with the Orioles. His m.o. was a sinking fastball that often didn't sink, and not enough of a strikeout pitch to do more than fill out the back end of a major league rotation. The Dodgers have decided that they'd rather go with Johnson than Chan Ho Park in the rotation, so Johnson gets the Rockies at Coors tomorrow night. It's a start I'd avoid. Wait and see how Johnson does before rolling the dice, but I think the 33-year-old is too big a risk, even in a spot start.

Scott Podsednik $2.
Podsednik has barely played for the Rox this year, so even his speed has provided limited value for his owners. He's an interesting FAAB play right now. He could get traded to a contender who might use him more as a pinch runner, or he could get significant playing time in the outfield in the unlikely event the Rockies move Matt Holliday. If you have the space, Pods is certainly worth a little bid like this one to see what happens.

David Riske $1.
Riske hasn't provided the value his owners hoped he would this year. He missed about a month with a hyperextended elbow, and his numbers have been pretty meh when he has been healthy. At this point, I doubt the Brewers would give him any save opportunities even if something happened to Salomon Torres, and he's not even getting the vulture opportunities you hope for with a pitcher like this.

Seth McClung $1.
He's scheduled to be a two-start pitcher this week, with a start today at St. Louis and then a start at home later in the week vs. the Astros. I wrote about him a week ago, and of course nothing has changed since then. He's a dangerous pitcher when he's completely on his game, but the problem is that he's never even completely on his game during the course of a full start. He's an OK wins play with the two starts, but I'd be wary of him in general, regardless of match-ups, line-ups and other trends that might matter more with a different pitcher with a different skill set.

Chan Ho Park $1.
As mentioned above in the Johnson comment, Park's going back to the bullpen for now. Joe Torre's rationale is that he'd rather have Park as a set-up guy, though Park has surprisingly been much more hittable as a reliever this year. You can certainly pick Park up if you're hoping for a vulture, but I anticipate the Dodgers are going to make a trade in the next 10 days to upgrade their bullpen, even if it's not an upgrade of the Huston Street/George Sherrill variety.

Doug Mientkiewicz $1.
Mientkiewicz has contributed next to nothing in Roto this year. Even when he's getting the occasional playing time off of the Pirates bench, he's done nothing in the power/speed categories, and his BA doesn't justify wasting a spot on him in your line-up.

Brian Myrow $1.
Myrow's a 31-year-old minor league journeyman who has had a few cups of coffee here and there. He's had little major league success, but all the guy has done in the minors is rake, with a 937 OPS across 2,787 AB. He's got no position on the Padres, though, and unless there's an injury to Adrian Gonzalez, Myrow shouldn't see extended playing time. That's too bad; I'm always intrigued when guys like this get an opportunity.

Mike Fontenot $1.
Alfonso Soriano should be back later this week, so Fontenot's value takes a hit as he goes back to the bench. Without the PT, Fontenot not worth it as a this year play; he doesn't run enough off the bench to even bid $1.

No comments: