Thursday, March 27, 2008

Calculating Inflation: A Specific Example

Anonymous asks:
I’ve been trying to figure the inflation in my NL-only, and I can’t figure this out. I’m hoping that you can help here, and possibly show how you reach your numbers. It might be helpful for those like me who are struggling with this.
Anonymous goes on to list all of the freezes for all 12 teams in his league.

Instead of running through this exercise for all 12 teams, I'll do it for one team and show you how to get from where you are to being able to calculate inflation. Since Alex Patton is still taking orders for his software and his bids are proprietary, I'll use the Tout Wars winning bids for this exercise.

"Team B" Freeze List
SlotPlayerPrice
TW
+/-

1Prince Fielder
$5$35+30
2
Kaz Matsui
$7$14+7
3
Jose Reyes
$41$44+3
4
Jeremy Hermida
$10$23+13
5
Felix Pie
$1$15
+14
6Josh Willingham
$5$16+11
7
Shawn Hill
$5$4-1
8
Brad Penny
$12
$14
+2
9
Takashi Saito
$5
$22
+17
10Brian Wilson
$5$13+8

Totals
$96$200+104

Repeat the above exercise for all 12 teams.

For the sake of explanation, though, let's pretend that this team was the only one with freezes. That would leave your league with $3,156 to spend ($271 x 12 teams minus $96) for $3,052 worth of talent. The inflation rate would be the amount left to spend ($3,156) divided by the amount of talent ($3,052) left over. Inflation would be 3.4%.

Of course, your inflation rate will be much higher when you do this for all 12 teams.

You'll also need to make adjustments for the extra $11 per team that your league has, as well as the fact that you're a 6x6 league and not a 5x5. But this is just a rough exercise designed to get you started.

4 comments:

Anonymous said...

OK, I'm giving this a shot. Thank you.

Anonymous said...

I finally got it (I think).

I did the calculations, and my league has a 51 percent inflation rate. Is that a crazy-high percentage? Is that abnormal for a keeper league?

Mike Gianella said...

It's high, but not unheard of.

To test whether or not this is correct, add up the salaries of the players frozen with the inflation bids you have listed for the players in the pool. It should equal $3,252. If it does, you've calculated inflation correctly.

Anonymous said...

Argh.