Some poor freezes by a few other owners left me in better shape than I thought I would be, but still projected to finish 5th overall. My freeze list heading in was:
Carlos Guillen $19Not a great freeze list, but there wasn't a super strong team heading into the auction.
Mark Teahen $12
Gary Matthews $4
Mike Mussina $14
Jon Garland $2
Justin Speier $1
Todd Jones $12
My strategy was centered around spending up to $27 for Rich Harden and filling in the rest of my pitching staff with $1 pitchers. Then I'd spend $200 on offense (or $160 for the rest of my offense). I know Harden is risky, but I knew D-Mat would be expensive and I had to spend enough on offense to be competitive.
My expectations were that:
- pitching would go for too much money, particularly once D-Mat, Harden, Escobar and Pettitte were off the board and the league realized that the next best pitchers were guys like Boof Bonser and Kei Igawa.
- some of the top hitters might go a little cheaper, since my top 10 projected offensive players were all available.
- catchers, first basemen, and second basemen would be way too expensive, since most of them were frozen.
- there would be some huge bargains in the endgame at OF and 3B, since almost every OF/3B was available.
It turns out I was mostly wrong.
I wound up with (freezes noted with an asterisk):
C Varitek $14
C Heintz $1
1B Mientkiewicz $3
2B Roberts $29
SS Guillen $19*
3B Crede $14
CO Inge $10
MI T. Walker $3
OF Blake $10
OF Bradley $15
OF Dye $29
OF Rios $27
OF Teahen $12*
DH Matthews $4*
P Byrd $3
P Colon $6
P Garland $2*
P Harden $25
P T. Jones $12*
P Mussina $14*
P Ohka $3
P J. Shields $3
P Speier $1*
So how did I do?
Well, based on my assumptions above, I was completely off. There were a few prices for pitchers that were out of line (Meche $11, Igawa $15, Sowers $18), but the room simply refused to pay good money for medicore or bad pitching. I was merely pushing Ohka, Byrd and Shields up because I thought someone would bite, but one owner bought Silva, Kennedy, de la Rosa and Jaret Wright all at $1 rather than pay a little extra for someone medicore as opposed to poor.
Typical of a Stage 3 auction, none of the top hitters went cheaply. Crawford went for $50, Vlad $44, and A-Rod $42. Hitters in the $30s were Abreu $37, Jeter $35, Ichiro $38, Tejada $35, Manny $35, Big Papi $38, Konerko $32, M. Young $33 and Hafner $33.
I'll continue tomorrow.
1 comment:
Just over a week ago, you told us that the inflation rate for your league was 8% for hitters and 49% for pitchers.
Did it work out that way?
What was the total spent on hitting and pitching?
My inflation rate is similarly imbalanced, but I think my league is going to do what yours did. Star hitter prices are going to reflect an inflation rate closer to the overall average -- not the offense-alone figure.
In Tout Wars, those 12 hitters you named at the end went for a total of $75 less cost. Your league paid $6, 7 or 8 more for 9 of those guys. The outliers were ARod, at $1 less(!), and Ortiz at 11 more. Oh, and Hafner went for only $2 more.
That works out to an inflation rate of about 17% on those stars.
Coincidentally, all those hitters are available in my auction, save Hafner (we have Teixeira). That means I can tweak my bid prices a bit to account for this information. Thanks!
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