These types of articles always make me spit up whatever it is I'm drinking.
I desperately want to find the league where Matt Garza, Baseball America's 21st best prospect on their Top 100 Prospects List is a "sleeper". Or Jason Bartlett, a guy who earned $12 last year in little over half a season. How is Ryan Shealy a sleeper? He has the job and played half a season in the majors last year.
From this entire list (not including the "deep sleepers" at the bottom), I'd say that Al Reyes is probably the only one I'd call a sleeper. Anyone you're going to spend $4 or more on really isn't much of a sleeper anymore...at that point, at least one other owner thinks enough of the player to be bidding against you.
Even the deep sleeper list is kind of funny. Ryan Garko a deep sleeper? The guy smoked the ball over two months last year in the majors. If anything, I think he'll go for too much.
If I remember, I'm going to re-visit this post after my A.L. auction in April, and see what these "sleepers" went for.
And I'm going to see if I can't get into one of these leagues Aaron Gleeman is talking about where these guys are considered sleepers.
3 comments:
It has always seemed to me that these lists are geared towards stage two leagues -- and any player in a stage three league has our response to these lists, that we look for even deeper sleepers.
The opposite happens as well -- I know I tend to get more excited about marginal guys whom I think will (possibly) get 300 productive ABs, and write about them at various sites without even commenting on Carlos Lee, or even Omar Vizquel. With folks who play in 12-team ML Yahoo leagues wondering what the hell I'm talking about . . .
Are there really Stage 2 leagues left? Everyone I talk to, even people who have only been playing for 2-3 years, seems to have a Stage 3 mentality about Roto. Part of the problem I have is that even the weaker owners in my leagues all know the same things that I do in terms of valuation and bid limits.
If I'm wrong and there are some Stage 2 leagues floating around out there, I'm dying to know.
I'm in line with Mike G. on this one. I think that everyone has access to exactly the same information at this point. The difference, and one of the reasons I think this blog will be successful, is the application of those valuations and bid limits and the theories from which those applications derive.
I would love to find a Stage II league - hook me up!!!
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