When fantasy baseball owners are bidding on players, do they
consider values from the year before or are they more likely to spend based on
how the position has historically performed?
Ten
Most Expensive N.L. Third Basemen 2012
#
|
Player
|
$
|
Sal
|
+/-
|
CBS
|
LABR
|
TW
|
PK
|
2011
|
1
|
Ryan
Zimmerman
|
$26
|
28
|
-2
|
26
|
28
|
29
|
29
|
$15
|
2
|
David
Wright
|
$31
|
27
|
4
|
29
|
30
|
22
|
28
|
$17
|
3
|
Pablo
Sandoval
|
$15
|
26
|
-11
|
24
|
28
|
27
|
27
|
$23
|
4
|
Aramis
Ramirez
|
$31
|
23
|
8
|
21
|
24
|
23
|
24
|
$28
|
5
|
Martin
Prado
|
$25
|
20
|
5
|
17
|
24
|
18
|
18
|
$15
|
6
|
Chase
Headley
|
$33
|
16
|
17
|
13
|
15
|
20
|
18
|
$15
|
7
|
David
Freese
|
$22
|
16
|
6
|
14
|
19
|
15
|
16
|
$14
|
8
|
Mat
Gamel
|
$2
|
14
|
-12
|
13
|
12
|
17
|
8
|
($1)
|
9
|
Ty
Wigginton
|
$8
|
9
|
-2
|
4
|
11
|
13
|
8
|
$13
|
10
|
Ian
Stewart
|
$1
|
9
|
-8
|
9
|
8
|
11
|
12
|
($1)
|
Average
|
$19
|
19
|
0
|
17
|
20
|
20
|
19
|
$14
|
Just
like in the American
League, third basemen in the National League received a $5 raise per
player. And, just like in the A.L., this was the biggest raise from 2011 at any
position.
I'd
argue that N.L. owners were going out on a further limb than their A.L.
counterparts. It's a bigger leap of faith from $14 in earnings to a $19 bid than
it is from $19 in earnings to a $24 bid. What was it, exactly, that the
National League market was bidding on so fervently in the spring of 2012?
For
the most part, a return to form.
Zimmerman
($26), Wright ($31), Prado ($24), and Stewart ($14) are all getting paid for
what they did in 2010, not in 2011. Only Gamel gets the speculative "he's
a starter so we should bid something on
him" bid.
While
Stewart and Gamel flamed out, on the whole this strategy worked like a charm.
Third basemen gained $5 per player last year (or earned what they were paid) and most of those gains came from Zimmerman, Wright,
and Prado.
It was
a rich position on the whole, though, with some names coming out of nowhere to
surprise us.
Top
10 N.L. Third Basemen 2012
#
|
Player
|
$
|
Sal
|
+/-
|
CBS
|
LABR
|
TW
|
PK
|
2011
|
1
|
Chase
Headley
|
$33
|
16
|
17
|
13
|
15
|
20
|
18
|
$15
|
2
|
Aramis
Ramirez
|
$31
|
23
|
8
|
21
|
24
|
23
|
24
|
$28
|
3
|
David
Wright
|
$31
|
27
|
4
|
29
|
30
|
22
|
28
|
$17
|
4
|
Ryan
Zimmerman
|
$26
|
28
|
-2
|
26
|
28
|
29
|
29
|
$15
|
5
|
Martin
Prado
|
$25
|
20
|
5
|
17
|
24
|
18
|
18
|
$15
|
6
|
David
Freese
|
$22
|
16
|
6
|
14
|
19
|
15
|
16
|
$14
|
7
|
Pedro
Alvarez
|
$18
|
7
|
10
|
6
|
11
|
5
|
6
|
$0
|
8
|
Chris
Johnson
|
$17
|
2
|
15
|
1
|
1
|
5
|
3
|
$8
|
9
|
Todd
Frazier
|
$17
|
0
|
16
|
1
|
R2
|
$4
|
||
10
|
Chipper
Jones
|
$16
|
8
|
8
|
9
|
7
|
8
|
6
|
$18
|
Average
|
$23
|
15
|
9
|
14
|
16
|
15
|
15
|
$13
|
Well,
not out of nowhere. With the exception of Frazier, these guys were also blasts
from the (recent) past.
It's
notable that every single player here turns a profit with the exception of
Zimmerman. Third base was the rare position in 2012 where there were
profit and earnings to be had.
We
all know how this is going to go this time around. Jones is gone, but everyone
else's price is going to go up. Wright and Zimmerman should clear $30. Headley
might not quite make it there, but he'll get close. And Freese and Alvarez
aren't going to be cheap this time around.
It's
great that these bargains came along last year, but you're probably going to
want to be careful not to chase this crop of players in 2013. Since 2009, only
Wright ($31 in 2010) and Mark Reynolds ($33/2009) have cracked the $30 barrier.
And only Ramirez ($28/2011), Zimmerman ($26/2010; $29/2009), and Wright
($28/2009) have earned $25 or more.
If
there's a Renaissance coming at third base, I'd like to see it for at least one
more season before spending big bucks on it.
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