One odd reason I like
Rotisserie baseball better than the real life version is that we seldom waste
too much time arguing about what a guy is worth.
Top 10 A.L. Shortstops 2012
#
|
Player
|
$
|
Sal
|
+/-
|
CBS
|
LABR
|
TW
|
PK
|
2011
|
1
|
Derek Jeter
|
$27
|
19
|
8
|
18
|
20
|
20
|
19
|
$22
|
2
|
Alcides Escobar
|
$25
|
14
|
11
|
12
|
13
|
17
|
13
|
$16
|
3
|
Elvis Andrus
|
$22
|
26
|
-4
|
25
|
26
|
26
|
26
|
$26
|
4
|
Erick Aybar
|
$20
|
19
|
1
|
19
|
18
|
20
|
18
|
$23
|
5
|
Alexei Ramirez
|
$19
|
20
|
-1
|
21
|
19
|
19
|
20
|
$18
|
6
|
Asdrubal Cabrera
|
$18
|
21
|
-3
|
22
|
21
|
20
|
21
|
$26
|
7
|
J.J. Hardy
|
$13
|
17
|
-4
|
18
|
16
|
18
|
17
|
$20
|
8
|
Jamey Carroll
|
$12
|
6
|
6
|
9
|
4
|
5
|
6
|
$12
|
9
|
Trevor Plouffe
|
$11
|
5
|
6
|
6
|
5
|
5
|
6
|
$7
|
10
|
Pedro Ciriaco
|
$11
|
$2
|
||||||
Average
|
$18
|
16
|
1
|
15
|
14
|
15
|
15
|
$18
|
For the fourth year in a
row, Derek Jeter earned at least $22. He has been no worse than the fourth best
fantasy shortstop in the American League during that time. Everyone knows that
at some point in the near or far future Jeter is going to get old, see his
skills erode, fall off the map and lose it, but since we do know this it is
typically reflected in Jeter's price.
Ten Most Expensive A.L.
Shortstops
#
|
Player
|
$
|
Sal
|
+/-
|
CBS
|
LABR
|
TW
|
PK
|
2011
|
1
|
Elvis Andrus
|
$22
|
26
|
-4
|
25
|
26
|
26
|
26
|
$26
|
2
|
Asdrubal Cabrera
|
$18
|
21
|
-3
|
22
|
21
|
20
|
21
|
$26
|
3
|
Alexei Ramirez
|
$19
|
20
|
-1
|
21
|
19
|
19
|
20
|
$18
|
4
|
Derek Jeter
|
$27
|
19
|
8
|
18
|
20
|
20
|
19
|
$22
|
5
|
Erick Aybar
|
$20
|
19
|
1
|
19
|
18
|
20
|
18
|
$23
|
6
|
J.J. Hardy
|
$13
|
17
|
-4
|
18
|
16
|
18
|
17
|
$20
|
7
|
Jhonny Peralta
|
$10
|
16
|
-6
|
15
|
17
|
16
|
16
|
$22
|
8
|
Yunel Escobar
|
$11
|
15
|
-4
|
15
|
14
|
16
|
16
|
$17
|
9
|
Alcides Escobar
|
$25
|
14
|
11
|
12
|
13
|
17
|
13
|
$16
|
10
|
Cliff Pennington
|
$7
|
11
|
-4
|
10
|
10
|
13
|
12
|
$15
|
Average
|
$17
|
18
|
-1
|
18
|
17
|
19
|
18
|
$20
|
For the last two years,
Jeter has not been the most expensive shortstop in the American League. Some of
this is due to Jeter's advanced age. But there's more to it than that. Jeter
has become part of a crowded field of young and/or talented players. More important
than how talented these guys are, they are earners.
Alexei Ramirez is the
biggest example of this phenomenon. His 651 OPS was 79th among qualifiers in
the American League. Only Yunel Escobar, Dustin Ackley, and Jemile Weeks were
worse. Yet Ramirez earned $19 last year...or $1 more than in he did in 2011.
Ramirez bolstered his value while being a poorer hitter by stealing 20 bases
(keeping his batting average decent while his OBP cratered certainly helped).
One of the things that
drive numbers-oriented baseball fans nuts about fantasy baseball is how bad
they think it is at measuring a player's true value. I used to be one of those
fantasy nuts who simply poo-pooed these criticisms. Now, when I look at guys
like Ramirez I'm not so sure.
But I don't run these
charts to waste your time trying to talk you out of playing fantasy baseball.
There are plenty of people out there who would be more than happy to do that.
These charts are designed to instruct and inform on player valuation. I
bring up the intersection of real life and fantasy not to make you feel bad
about "overvaluing" Ramirez but to point you toward the opportunity
that lies within.
Fangraphs, Baseball Prospectus and many
other baseball sites have done so much to improve our baseball knowledge. But
as long as we continue to play traditional 5x5 Rotisserie (and whether we
should or should not do so is an argument for another day and probably a
different web site), we must know what these guys are worth.
Players like J.J. Hardy and
Jhonny Peralta can earn in the neighborhood of $20 or so - as evidenced by what
Hardy and Peralta did in 2011. But players like Hardy and Peralta will lose a
lot of ground if they slip in any appreciable way in batting average - as
evidenced by what they did in 2012.
Guys like Aybar and Ramirez
are the types of players I want. Even in off years, they still earned $20 or
close to it because they contribute across the board. It isn't pretty, and even
in deep leagues the stats feel like they're coming in dribs and drabs. But
these are the kinds of guys I want on my fantasy
teams...particularly if the price is right.
And guys like Derek Jeter
are fantasy gold.
In addition to the stolen
bases, what we really want are plenty of plate appearances and a positive
batting average outcome.
This powers the runs/RBI
engine. These categories are important but far too often underrated. If a guy
misses too much playing time, he's going to hurt you in both of these
categories. It doesn't matter if this is because of injury or because he's a
platoon player. Miss too many at bats, and odds are great that you're going to
miss out on a title.
While everyone gets excited
about Albert Pujols, Prince Fielder, Miguel Cabrera, and all of the other big
time power hitters out there, all Jeter manages to do is produce $25+ worth of
value without costing what he winds up earning.
It isn't sexy, it isn't
glamorous, and it isn't as much as owning Pujols, Fielder, or Cabrera. But it's
all part of a winning formula.
And - for more than any
other reason - that's why I play this game.
No comments:
Post a Comment