a friend and myself were berating follow owners in a 5x5, AL only, keeper league for failing to pick up via a waiver claim both (Curtis) Granderson and Victor Martinez at $20 each, primarily for the benefits to be hopefully gained next year. I know without knowing the exact inflation for next year for our league makes this a more difficult question, but just wondered your gut feeling about this. I think we can safely assume the hitting inflation in this league will be at least 15-20%.It's impossible to offer an entirely accurate analysis without knowing what the maximum number of freezes is and how good or bad all of the non-contenders' freeze lists are.
Entering the week, Granderson was on pace to earn $15 and V-Mart $17. There are certainly other factors than this year's earnings to consider, but neither one of them is a slam dunk as a keep based on this year's performance. If Gypsy's league only allows, say, 8-10 keeps, it's possible that a non-contender may have looked at Granderson and V-Mart's numbers and decided to pass.
Generally speaking, though, on the rare occasions I've been out of the running in keeper leagues, I like to be as aggressive as possible. In this case, I would have claimed Granderson and/or V-Mart because:
- It is hard to gauge what someone's freeze price is going to be at the end of August, and it's not like Granderson/V-Mart's prices are that out of line with the market.
- You never know what someone else might think of their value come next March.
- Unless there is some kind of financial penalty for claiming them, what do I have to lose, particularly if I'm sucking wind with some $10 free agent who won't be a keeper next year or in a million years?