I didn't have this luxury in my American League, where Toz walked into the room on Saturday with a juggernaut.
Projected Inflation Spending, 2010 Billy Almon Brown Graduate
| Team | Salary | Value | $ to Spend | AuctionValue | Total $ |
| JSCs | $165 | $263 | $95 | $76 | $339 |
| Gueros | $137 | $198 | $123 | $98 | $296 |
| Batteries | $134 | $194 | $126 | $100 | $294 |
| Benedictines | $128 | $179 | $132 | $105 | $284 |
| Towers | $63 | $113 | $197 | $147 | $270 |
| Glanvillage | $147 | $167 | $113 | $90 | $257 |
| Quints | $53 | $90 | $207 | $164 | $254 |
| Copasetics | $109 | $126 | $151 | $118 | $244 |
| Doze Guys | $135 | $126 | $125 | $100 | $226 |
| Jihad | $160 | $142 | $100 | $80 | $222 |
| Jables | $53 | $54 | $207 | $164 | $218 |
| Decimators | $165 | $139 | $95 | $76 | $215 |
| Totals | $1,449 | $1,791 | $1,671 | $1,448 | $3,119 |
I've dragged this chart out before, but if you're new to the blog this definitely needs explaining.
The salary column is the combined salary of all of the freezes I am projecting for my league. The value column is my combined value projection for the same freezes. $ to Spend reflects how much money each team has left. These three columns are self-explanatory.
The tricky columns are the last two. Auction Value reflects how much the $ to Spend in the auction will equal in actual Roto value. This is computed by dividing the $ to spend by the total value remaining in the auction ($3,120 minus the Value $ column = $1,671). My projected inflation rate for my league was 25.7%. Divide this number by each team's money left to spend in the auction and you have the Auction Value. Add this to the freeze value and you'll have the estimated post-auction values for every team. (The $1 missing from the final column is due to rounding).
In leagues that play with some or most of the original Rotisserie rules, freeze lists like Toz's are common. He had dumped last year, did a great job maximizing his future value all season long, and got a little lucky that he didn't lose anyone significant to the National League. That $43 projected gap between his team and the next best projected team made me think that I'd have to dump at least one category - and maybe two - to even get close to him.
Rather than dump a category, I decided to go with a $150/$110 split. I'd buy a balanced offense. My offensive freezes were: Nick Swisher $13, Asdrubal Cabrera $16, Marco Scutaro $3, Austin Jackson $5, Nolan Reimold $12 and Andruw Jones $1. I'd try to add a bunch of every day players at reasonable prices. On the pitching side, I would try to buy two closers and two frontline starters. I didn't have a specific plan of action in mind, but I'd spend about $60 on the two starters and $40 on the two closers. My pitching freezes were: Dallas Braden $1, Matt Thornton $1, C.J. Wilson $1.
It didn't work. The pitching prices were too rich for my blood (particularly for the closers) and I wound up spending a lot more on offense and a lot less on pitching than I intended. In my next post, I'll break what I did and how well I think I did.
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