Tuesday, March 31, 2009

Post-Auction Advice: N.L.

Anonymous wants to know how his freeze list looks after his auction.
I did, however, go with an all-backup catching group and I'm not too interested in saves (we also count holds). Still, I need to figure out where to go from here.

Any advice?

My team: C: Miguel Montero, Chris Coste. CO: Prince Fielder, Casey Blake, Adam LaRoche. MI: Freddy Sanchez, Miguel Tejada, Luis Rodriguez. OF: Corey Hart, Alfonso Soriano, Conor Jackson, Garrett Anderson, UT: Scott Hairston. SP: Derek Lowe, Ted Lilly, Josh Johnson, Paul Maholm, Manny Parra. CL: Matt Lindstrom. MR: Peter Moylan, Geoff Geary, Cory Wade, Sergio Romo.
This is obviously a truncated comment; go to the link above if you're interested in reading the entire post.

It's hard to gauge how good Anonymous' team is without seeing the rest of his league, knowing what the categories are (he mentions holds), and how much inflation was floating around.

In terms of value, I'd agree with anonymous that this is a very good team. He probably has about $290 worth of value on his team, and that doesn't even factor in holds. Even with potential dead spots in the catchers, Rodriguez, and Hairston, this team has the potential to provide a lot in the power categories. One problem I see is that this team is very light in speed. Hart and Soriano should provide some swipes, but there isn't a top baserunner here, and that could hurt.

The pitching is very strong. I'm not a huge fan of any of the starting pitchers in particular, but when viewed as a group they are a nice mix.

As far as the question of "where does anonymous go from here?" that question depends on his league. My guess is that anonymous is correct: this is probably a money team but cracking the top two or three will be a tall order. He can try to dump what remaining speed he has to either grab more power or a proven closer, but then he's probably throwing one category overboard and two if Lindstrom's injury is worse than it looks right now. I don't know enough about the rest of anonymous' league to make that judgment, so I can only comment on the roster I see above. From that perspective, I'd say anonymous did a good job of finding the value in his auction as it came.

2 comments:

Nick said...

Hey Mike,
I have an 11-team NL-Only Auction coming up this weekend. During the off-season, we changed from 4x4 to 5x5 adding Runs and Strikeouts (One of the last pure roto leagues succumbing to the luster of 5x5).

Anyway, when it was decided the add Ks I think they should've also added an inning maximum to pitchers. The way it stands now, there is a 900 inning minimum, but no maximum. I feel like I may be able to use this to my advantage at the auction by focusing some extra money on pitching and stockpiling some reserve starters so that I can win Ks and Wins for sure. I also have 3 closers right now so I'll compete in saves.

I need to be sure I get starters that aren't going to damage my ratios too much, but will this be possible with the depth of available starters in a league like this? What do I need to do to make sure I can win ALL the pitching categories, and still compete in a few hitting ones? Do you think this will be a viable strategy?

My freeze list:

McCann, Soto, Kaz Matsui, Ryan Zimmerman, Mark Reynolds, McLouth, Gregg, Lindstrom, Capps, Parra

We start 9 pitchers, but there is nothing preventing streaming bench pitchers. Right now there are only couple top starters (Webb, Oswalt) available, and it starts to drop off pretty quick (Zambrano, Harden, Harang, Vazquez seem to make up most of the next tier).

Anonymous said...

Mike,

As usual, thanks for answering my question. Now, another:

Is it worth my time to attempt to ship Lindstrom, or do we owners get too far ahead of ourselves early in the season? What I mean to say, is should I take a wait-and-see approach, rather than go all-in with a trade before the season begins?