Ron Belliard $10
The bid is because Belliard should start at 1B this week with Dmitri Young out with a bad back. The hope is that Belliard returns to his pre-St. Louis form. He's had a sub-700 OPS since coming to the National League. Yeah, Rotoworld keeps running down Cristian Guzman, and rightfully so. But Guzman has a higher OPS year-to-date than Belliard. It could be a situation where Belliard's unhappy on the bench and isn't playing well as a result. But the catch-22 is that Belliard won't win more time over Guzman by not hitting.
Antonio Alfonseca $9. Other bids $4, $4, $1.
When Charlie Manuel declared late last week that Alfonseca was going to be his temporary closer with Brett Myers out, N.L. Roto players wrung their hands dry. El Pulpo has a 1.49 lifetime WHIP. The good news is that he won't be affected as much by Philly as your average pitcher; his lifetime G/F ratio is nearly 2/1. That being said, you're living on the razor's edge with him for saves. Ryan Madson is the better option, and even Manuel should recognize this sooner than later. In the interest of full disclosure, it was Myers's owner who placed the winning bid on El Pulpo.
Sean Marshall $5. Other bids $1, $1
This is a bid I like a lot. Marshall's always been an electric pitcher. The question with him is going to be health, which could make him more suited for the bullpen in the long term. Short term, though, I think Marshall could do a lot of damage in N.L. leagues. He got knocked around last year for the Cubbies, but keep in mind that this is a guy who started 2005 in A-ball. As I mentioned, there's no question about his stuff. Be mindful of Pinella, though; he seems to change his mind every other day.
Ryan Spilborghs $3
He's off to a decent start, but at 27 years of age, his days as a prospect are behind him. He's an option off a Roto bench, but keep in mind that Colorado doesn't play like an arcade game anymore.
Aaron Miles $1
I'm not a huge Adam Kennedy fan, but I don't understand why you bench a guy you're paying $10 million across three years for Aaron Miles. At best, Miles is a pale version of Kennedy; at worst, Miles is a fungible Quad A player. From a Roto standpoint, owning Miles doesn't even seem worth it, as he barely runs and doesn't hit for power.
Pedro Feliciano $1. Other bids $1, $1.
Except for the fact that he's walking the park, Feliciano is having a great year. Guys like this are almost useless in 5x5 but very useful in 4x4 Roto formats. I'd be a little concerned about the walks, but Feliciano to date has had a great run as a middle reliever.
Jesus Colome $1. Other bid $1
A.L. only leaguers sure as hell remember this guy. He was the next great closer for the Devil Rays and for Roto purposes. Look at how hard he throws! My God, man! Can't you see the bones? That rabbit is dynamite! Oops, that's Monty Python. Anyway, Colome has four relief wins and a save so far. I wouldn't count on more, though you can't blame the guy who won Colome for a mere FAAB buck for taking a vulture stab.
Chad Moeller $1
Bleech! His OPSs the last three years have been 568, 624 and 507. Pass.
2 comments:
I know you like category dumps, so I thought I'd seek your input on this issue (I also posted this at Alex's forum):
9-team, NL-only, $260, 4x4, 14 hitters, 9 pitchers, 900 IP minimum. I'm in third, having been in first almost all season until my offense started collapsing recently : only a .230 BA with 34 HR in the last month. I acquired Bonds just in time for him to go through one of the longest droughts in his career. As you predicted, closers are a dime a dozen in a league this shallow. I'm in first in ERA and WHIP, with 435 IP, thanks to Peavy, Saito, Lincecum and Young. I'm second in saves, but 6/9 in wins. I'm average or below in all four offensive categories, even with Jose Reyes single-handedly carrying me in steals. Chipper and Jenkins are the only two players on my team with more than 6 HR.
So, what about this: I lock in my 3.34 ERA and 1.146 WHIP by trading Peavy (for A LOT), Lincecum, Young, Sheets and Maddux for maybe one more closer and a bunch of offense. I'll finish in last in wins, but I should finish first in saves and first or second in ERA and WHIP. With 434 IP so far, I shouldn't have any problem reaching the 900 IP minimum over the next four months.
My offense should turn around, resulting in at least 2-3 points in each category. So I should net 5-9 more points minimum, which at this point puts in first by several points. Good idea, or too risky?
465 innings is a long, long time in baseball. I think that your thinking is correct, but, in a 4x4, why risk it? If you have Reyes, trade your power for guys who hit for average and another closer, dump HR and RBI and win 6 categories: 74 points could be enough.
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