I think (fear) that the year after shooting the moon, a team is going to have a hard time competing for the impact players with the better freeze-list teams, and having mid-level at-value players (frozen) and risk-heavy guys (bought at auction) is a recipe for a sixth-place finish if you're not careful.The full comment is so insightful, that I include it here if you care to take a look.
That said, such a team is in good shape to build a good freeze list for 2008. If you come out of the auction with a team with a small chance of being in the money, you can hold up the contenders by playing them against each other for the Tejadas and Youngs.
I agree with the gist of what Mike's saying. One of the silliest things in this industry are experts who virtually promise that "you will win your league." If you play in a freeze league, there will simply be years where the odds are stacked against you. I did not intend to infer that I own the magic bullet that can change the cards you're dealt pre-auction.
However, I also don't believe in giving up on the season before the season starts. I cannot and will not promise anyone reading this blog that my advice can singlehandedly win you your league. If you're in a competitive league, you won't win every year, and you already know that.
My multiple responses to comments to my posts have been a most welcome diversion from the next task at hand. How do you take a deck that's stacked against you and better your odds? That will be the subject of my next few posts.