tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-37316956.post2651887911670809228..comments2023-10-31T06:25:28.512-04:00Comments on Roto Think Tank: Adjusting your bidsMike Gianellahttp://www.blogger.com/profile/04227146501538593197noreply@blogger.comBlogger3125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-37316956.post-88078684065889436102007-03-05T21:32:00.000-05:002007-03-05T21:32:00.000-05:00I think that is fair advice Mike. I just took a p...I think that is fair advice Mike. I just took a peek at Mike G.'s column today and he addresses this. My usually pattern is to assign the money to the top 10 hitters and pitchers first, then the next 10 hitters and pitchers. I then go back and tweak bids for players I like, don't like, etc. For example, I know a lot of people had Papelbon on their boards for $8. I had him at $13, and got him for $12. Why? I liked him. Did I know he was going to be the closer? Of course not. In the end, my guy on him turned out right - if I stuck strictly "by the numbers," he would have paid dividends for someone else.Tozhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/02097212900980638912noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-37316956.post-69846606686077943402007-03-05T16:50:00.000-05:002007-03-05T16:50:00.000-05:00I have a theory about that [groan]. It's always se...I have a theory about that [groan]. It's always seemed to me that inflation on the top guys is less than the absolute percentage, but certain to be applied -- as you go down in price, there's a wider range (i.e., a higher percentage, but that is less certain to be applied). Dollar players can go for $5, or guys you have at $5 can end up undrafted. And, the guys you have for $10 - $15 can really get bid up if they're the "last best player" in the auction.<BR/><BR/>So, my advice would be to give some of the money to the top guys, it certainly won't be wasted there, and you might well get one for less if there's a "psychological barrier" (e.g., a dollar figure that ends in a zero). The rest, give to the lesser-priced guys that you have a good feeling about it. Because the goal of your exercise is less to predict the price every player goes at, and more to get yourself a team you like. (Here's hoping you like good players!) The auction dynamics are impossible to predict 100% (though knowing your league-mates can help), but giving the "extra" money to players you have a feeling will exceed others' expectations can get you where you want to go.mike fengerhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/14135375038293850913noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-37316956.post-58414620179318735072007-03-05T12:31:00.000-05:002007-03-05T12:31:00.000-05:00When you go through and try to zero out the money ...When you go through and try to zero out the money and have 40 or so dollars left at the end, do you spread this among the top guys or do you make the relievers/back up hitters the higher end of their value, ie 3-5 dollars vs. leave them at 1-2 dollars? I have tended to do the former on the theory that we are all guessing on these players and you have a better idea as to the production you can reasonably expect from the top guys.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.com